Institutional Intelligence Prototype

Can AI map how policies, institutions and economic conditions connect, in a way an analyst can verify line by line?

In progressResearch Experiments
Status
In progress
Under active development.
Built with
Next.js API route · Anthropic Messages API · Structured output (tool use) · Quote verification · SVG network graph · TypeScript
Repository
Not yet public

At a glance

The question

Can AI map how policies, institutions and economic conditions connect, in a way an analyst can verify line by line?

Why it matters

My research on the AI development divide argues that institutional capacity decides who benefits from AI. Tools that strengthen how institutions analyze policy and economic information may matter as much as access to frontier models.

Commercial relevance

Central banks, development finance institutions, regulators and compliance functions work across large volumes of policy, regulatory and economic material. Faster, traceable analysis improves the quality and speed of their decisions.

Results

No results yet. Findings will be published once the project has been built and evaluated.

Scope

  • Works on documents the user supplies: the published papers on this site, or a pasted policy, regulation or briefing.
  • Extracts entities (policies, regulations, institutions, indicators, actors, risks) and the relationships between them.
  • Requires a verbatim quote for every relationship, then checks each quote against the source text.
  • Answers an optional question with supporting quotes, also checked.
  • Shows a network map, an evidence table and a traceability score for every run.

Try it

Choose one or more papers, or paste a policy, regulation or briefing of your own. The model maps how its policies, institutions and indicators connect, and every quote is checked against the source.

Loading the tool...

Objective

Test whether AI can make institutional analysis faster and more traceable. The prototype maps how the policies, regulations, institutions and indicators in a set of documents relate to one another, and proves each link with a quote that is checked automatically.

The AI Development Divide argues that institutional capacity decides who benefits from AI. Central banks, development finance institutions, regulators and compliance teams spend much of their time tracing these connections across long documents. A tool that speeds this up, without asking analysts to take its output on trust, is one way to build that capacity.

Technical architecture

  1. Documents. The analyst picks published papers from this site, or pastes up to 30,000 characters of their own text. Pasted text is processed for that request and not stored.
  2. Structured extraction. The documents go to Claude with a required output schema: a summary, entities with types, relationships with a verbatim evidence quote and source document, and an optional answer with quotes. Forcing the structure makes the output machine-checkable.
  3. Verification. The server checks every quote against the source document after normalizing spacing, punctuation and formatting. Each relationship is marked as found or not found, and relationships pointing to entities that do not exist are dropped.
  4. Interface. A network map with nodes coloured by type: select a node to focus on its links, and unverified links are shown dashed in red. Alongside it are an evidence table, the answer, and a traceability score (the share of quotes found verbatim).

Methodology

  • Evidence by construction. Every relationship must carry a quote, so an analyst can check any link in seconds instead of rereading the document.
  • Verification is mechanical, not model-based. A quote either appears in the source or it does not. This catches fabricated or paraphrased evidence without relying on a second model to judge the first.
  • Domain-neutral by design. No policy domain was fixed in advance, so the prototype works on whatever documents it is given. A domain-specific version, such as financial inclusion policy, can be built on the same engine once one is chosen.

Evaluation

The verification step was tested with simulated model output:

  • A quote copied from the source was marked as found.
  • An invented quote was marked as not found.
  • A relationship pointing to a missing entity was removed.

Planned evaluation on the live model:

Measure How it is assessed
Traceability Share of quotes found verbatim in the source, calculated on every run
Relationship validity Whether a verified quote actually supports the stated relationship, judged by a reviewer
Coverage Whether the important relationships in a document are captured, compared with a reviewer's own map
Time saved Time to produce a reviewed map, compared with doing it manually

Results

No results yet. Results will be published here after the first evaluated runs on the live model, starting with the published papers.

Limitations

  • A found quote is not proof. It shows the text exists, not that it supports the relationship drawn from it, so relationship validity still needs human review.
  • Long documents must stay under 60,000 characters in total per run. Larger collections would need retrieval first, as in the Research Engine.
  • Repeat runs can differ. The model chooses which entities matter, so two runs on the same documents can produce different maps.
  • Few relationship types. Relationships are short verb phrases, not a fixed vocabulary, so maps from different runs are not directly comparable.

Code and resources

The prototype runs on this page through the site's server. A public repository will be linked here once it is published.

Research behind this project

EconomicsThe AI Development Divide: Will Artificial Intelligence Democratize Economic Opportunity or Concentrate It?StrategyThe Economics of Trust: Why Trust Could Become AI's Most Valuable Commercial Infrastructure

Next in the Lab

In progressAI Research Engine

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